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미국 HPI, House Price Index가 월간(m/m) 1.7% 개선되었습니다. 특히 지표를 보면, 서부지역은 여전히 침체하여 있지만, 동부지역을 중심으로 개선세가 나타나고 있음을 볼 수 있습니다. (그림을 클릭하면 잘 나옵니다.)
FEDERAL HOUSING FINANCE AGENCY
NEWS R ELEASE
For Immediate Release Contact: Corinne Russell (202) 414-6921
March 24, 2009 Stefanie Mullin (202) 414-6376
U.S. MONTHLY HOUSE PRICE INDEX ESTIMATES 1.7
PERCENT PRICE INCREASE FROM DECEMBER TO JANUARY
WASHINGTON, DC – U.S. home prices rose 1.7 percent on a seasonally-adjusted basis
from December to January, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s monthly
House Price Index. December’s previously reported 0.1 percent increase was revised to a
0.2 percent decline. For the 12 months ending in January, U.S. prices fell 6.3 percent. The
U.S. index is 9.6 percent below its April 2007 peak.
The FHFA monthly index is calculated using purchase prices of houses backing mortgages
that have been sold to or guaranteed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. For the nine Census
Divisions, seasonally-adjusted monthly price changes from December to January ranged
from –0.9 percent in the Pacific Division to +3.9 percent in the East North Central
Division.
Month-to-month changes in the geographic mix of sales activity explain most of the
unexpected rise in prices in January. The January home sales reflected in the FHFA data
disproportionately occurred in areas with the strongest markets. While it is difficult to
perfectly control for changing geographic mix in estimating house price indexes, the data
suggest that if one were to remove those effects, the change in home prices in January,
while still positive, would have been far less dramatic.
It also should be noted that sales volumes, in absolute terms, were relatively low in the
month. Accordingly, the estimation imprecision associated with the January estimate is
relatively large and subsequent revisions to the monthly figure could be significant.
Monthly index values and appreciation rate estimates are provided in the table and graph
on the following pages. As with FHFA’s quarterly HPI, the estimates will be revised as new
data become available. Quarterly HPI reports include updated monthly data presented in
the same format as the attached table. For detailed information concerning the monthly
HPI, please see the HPI Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ). The next release of index data
will be on Apr. 22, 2009 and will include data for the month of February.
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