미국 연방공개시장위원회(FOMC, Federal Open Market Committee)는 11월 공개 회의록에서 제로금리를 앞으로도 상당기간 유지해 나갈 것임을 밝혔습니다.
FOMC는 직전 9월 공개 의사록에서 미국 경기가 미약하지만 회복세가 나타나고 있다고 공식적으로 밝힌 바 있습니다.
이런 내용에 연속적으로 이번 11월 공개의사록에서도 금융시장의 안정화 기조, 가계 부분의 회복세, 물가의 안정 흐름을 밝혔습니다.
그러나 이런 회복세는 강력하게 나타나고 있지는 않기 때문에, 가계 소비와 산업 경기가 확연하게 살아나기 까지는 상당한 기간이 소요될 것으로 보여, 물가가 안정적인 상황에서, 제로금리를 앞으로도 상당 기간 이어갈 것임을 재차 확인했습니다.
현재 미국 연방기금 금리 수준은 0.0%~0.25% 선에서 유지되고 있습니다.
2009년 마지막인 다음 FOMC 회의 의사록은 12월 15~16일(현지) 발표됩니다.
다음은 FOMC 11월 4일(현지) 발표 의사록 전문입니다.
Release Date: November 4, 2009
For immediate release
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in September suggests that economic activity has continued to pick up. Conditions in financial markets were roughly unchanged, on balance, over the intermeeting period. Activity in the housing sector has increased over recent months. Household spending appears to be expanding but remains constrained by ongoing job losses, sluggish income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit. Businesses are still cutting back on fixed investment and staffing, though at a slower pace; they continue to make progress in bringing inventory stocks into better alignment with sales. Although economic activity is likely to remain weak for a time, the Committee anticipates that policy actions to stabilize financial markets and institutions, fiscal and monetary stimulus, and market forces will support a strengthening of economic growth and a gradual return to higher levels of resource utilization in a context of price stability.
With substantial resource slack likely to continue to dampen cost pressures and with longer-term inflation expectations stable, the Committee expects that inflation will remain subdued for some time.
In these circumstances, the Federal Reserve will continue to employ a wide range of tools to promote economic recovery and to preserve price stability. The Committee will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and continues to anticipate that economic conditions, including low rates of resource utilization, subdued inflation trends, and stable inflation expectations, are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period. To provide support to mortgage lending and housing markets and to improve overall conditions in private credit markets, the Federal Reserve will purchase a total of $1.25 trillion of agency mortgage-backed securities and about $175 billion of agency debt. The amount of agency debt purchases, while somewhat less than the previously announced maximum of $200 billion, is consistent with the recent path of purchases and reflects the limited availability of agency debt. In order to promote a smooth transition in markets, the Committee will gradually slow the pace of its purchases of both agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities and anticipates that these transactions will be executed by the end of the first quarter of 2010. The Committee will continue to evaluate the timing and overall amounts of its purchases of securities in light of the evolving economic outlook and conditions in financial markets. The Federal Reserve is monitoring the size and composition of its balance sheet and will make adjustments to its credit and liquidity programs as warranted.
Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Elizabeth A. Duke; Charles L. Evans; Donald L. Kohn; Jeffrey M. Lacker; Dennis P. Lockhart; Daniel K. Tarullo; Kevin M. Warsh; and Janet L. Yellen.
출처 : Federal Reserve, FOMC 연간 캘린더
